Republicans are building on their odds of winning the House and Senate with less than a week to go before the 2022 midterms. For the first time in many months, Republicans are the favorites to win the Senate. What was at one time a 71% chance that Democrats would win the upper chamber according to FiveThirtyEight has shifted to just 48% with Republicans now having a 52% chance at taking over. The House forecast is also going in the right’s direction with the GOP taking a commanding 84% probability of winning the House. This is terrible news so close to the election but not altogether surprising. It seems as though Democratic odds peaked in the summer because of the backlash over the overturning of Roe vs. Wade. In the months since, other issues have taken the forefront, and it’s making the Democrats the underdogs.

 

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