2022-03-04 18:19:35
There are numerous reports predicting that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine could last 10-20 years. The US Congress has been briefed on the outlook as well, and if true, this will be a headache for lawmakers and presidents for the foreseeable future. This does not mean the next decade or two would look like the last week. However, if Russia is successful in taking over Ukraine, there will be significant resistance from Ukrainian civilians that lasts a long time.
Perhaps there will be constant flare-ups in separatist regions and border areas as Russia has difficulty occupying this foreign nation that doesn’t want them there. There’s another aspect to this as well, which is that the Russian economy may not be able to support a conflict that goes on for years and potentially decades. The consequences for the Ruble and Russian stock market, as well as the sanctions and companies pulling out business from Russia, will likely haunt the Kremlin for years to come and make it impossible to fund a prolonged occupation.
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