The 2022 midterm elections are now only three weeks away so it’s important to start pinpointing the bellwether and difference-making races that are upcoming. The Pennsylvania governor’s race is a crucial one since if PA is a swing state in 2024, the presidential winner could decide on whether a big lie-supporting Doug Mastriano or a democracy-backing Josh Shapiro is in charge. Luckily, Shapiro is up by as many as double digits in that race. Also in Pennsylvania, there’s a big Senate race that could tip the balance of the upper chamber. John Fetterman is currently up against Mehmet Oz by an average of 3.4% according to the RCP average of recent polling. Another state to watch is Florida. Republican incumbents Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio have good-sized leads over their challengers, Charlie Christ and Val Demings, but they’re not totally insurmountable. The Senate races in Arizona, North Carolina, and Wisconsin could also tip the balance of power, and so will be key states to focus on during Election Night 2022.
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