We now have updated numbers for the 2022 midterms which are only weeks away and Democrats are building on their odds to hold onto the House and Senate. According to FiveThirtyEight, there is now a 71% chance that Democrats will hold onto the Senate, and only a 29% chance that Republicans are able to take it over. This is key because it means Dems will still be able to confirm President Biden’s judicial nominations even if Republicans are able to take the House of Representatives. Democrats do still have some shot at holding onto the House, however, even though Republicans need only pick up fewer than ten seats in order to win it back. According to FiveThirtyEight, Republicans have a 72% chance of winning the House with Democrats having a 28% chance. The trend over the past few months has been moving in the Democrats’ direction and although it’s not the most likely possibility, there is a chance that the left could come out on top in November.

 

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